This study investigates the predictors of suicide terrorism in the Arab world after 2011 and focuses on assessing the relationship between the frequency of suicide bombings and state authoritarianism, group ideology, and foreign intervention. Using a dataset derived from the Global Terrorism Database, this paper examines the predictors of the frequency of suicide bombings across 21 Arab states from 2011 until 2020. A negative binomial regression model exposes that group ideology is the most significant and strongest predictor of an increase in the frequency of suicide bombings, a finding that was complemented by the use of a Chi-square test. Other significant and positive variables included foreign intervention and religious fractionalisation, whilst the positive coefficient of state authoritarianism, inversely operationalised as levels of democracy, did not quite reach statistical significance. These findings and the case-study-rich discussion contribute to not only the broader academic debate, but specifically to Social Movement Theory, Rational Choice Theory, and Ideological Theories of Terrorism, and emphasise the need for a multidimensional approach to understanding the phenomenon of suicide bombing.

TPR Research Paper #2: Exploding Boundaries: Analysing the Drivers of Suicide Terrorism in the Post-Arab Spring Era
This study investigates the predictors of suicide terrorism in the Arab world after 2011 and focuses on assessing the relationship between the frequency of suicide bombings and state authoritarianism, group ideology, and foreign intervention.
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